Sepoy ($2.60) has won 10 of his 11 career starts and is undefeated in 5 starts here at Caulfield. He returns to the scene of the crime where he won the Blue Diamond Stakes on this day last year and the dead track conditions will suit him to the tee.

Bel Sprinter ($3.00) will provide some stiff competition though. This gelding has impressed winning 5 of his first 6 starts and is coming off an impressive first up win at Caulfield a fortnight ago in the listed WJ Adams. He appears to be the main challenger to Sepoy.

Next in betting is First Command ($15.00) who has finished in the money all three starts this prep, Caulfield lover Curtana ($15.00) and African Pulse ($15.00) who has won 3 of his 4 career starts, including his only start at Caulfield which came back on Australia Day.

If you’re looking for some value then I see some in Master Of Design ($26.00) and Satin Shoes ($31.00), both whom are capable of running a place.

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Oakleigh Plate Form Guide

	Form	Horse Name	Career		W%	P%	Avg$	Wgt	Odds
1	1112111111	Sepoy	11	10-1-0	91%	100%	$351,818	58.0	2.70
2	7719000401	Eagle Falls	28	8-2-1	29%	39%	$38,458	57	26.00
3	5401132231	Grand Nirvana	35	10-5-6	29%	60%	$31,463	56.0	41.00
4	5171106617	Woorim	36	10-6-3	28%	53%	$21,588	56	21.00
5	4120527312	First Command	25	10-5-2	40%	68%	$30,368	54.5	15.00
6	111121	Bel Sprinter	6	5-1-0	83%	100%	$50,096	54.0	2.90
7	2318031211	Facile Tigre	15	7-3-2	47%	80%	$22,627	54	15.00
8	1906010079	Yosei	19	4-1-1	21%	32%	$47,446	54	121.00
9	1183011913	Master of Design	13	6-1-3	46%	77%	$24,670	53	26.00
10	3242223794	Winter King	31	7-7-6	23%	65%	$17,520	52.5	31.00
11	2111734204	Curtana	15	5-3-1	33%	60%	$38,113	52.0	15.00
12	9177651897	Panipique	17	4-0-1	24%	29%	$14,426	52.0	101.00
13	1291887135	Satin Shoes	12	5-1-1	42%	58%	$43,800	52.0	31.00
14	1610538221	Stirling Grove	19	7-4-2	37%	68%	$24,621	52.0	26.00
15	6127094006	Diplomatic Force	37	6-3-5	16%	38%	$14,508	52.0	51.00
16	5122137569	Elite Falls	10	2-2-1	20%	50%	$70,940	52.0	31.00
17	1211	African Pulse	4	3-1-0	75%	100%	$34,041	52.0	15.00
18	1121	Johannapine	4	3-1-0	75%	100%	$20,610	52.0	81.00
Field Averages					33%	58%	$39,361
View detailed form guide at RacingZone.com.au including 20 race form!

Samaready has opened as a $2.00 favourite with IASbet.com early bird markets and this exciting filly has not put a foot wrong in her two races to date. She stormed home in the G3 Prelude a fortnight back against a lot of runners in this field and without doubt looks the one to beat.

Next in betting is The Travelling Man ($10.00) who won the listed Preview back here on Australia Day. This will be his first run at 1200m but he looks primed. Jimando ($13.00) won the listed Debutants Stakes ahead of The Travelling Man and looks a good value bet.

No Looking Back ($13.00) brings with her interstate form running second in the Magic Millions 2yo Plate and a win on debut at Warwick Farm. Armed For Action ($13.00) is undefeated in two starts and is coming off a win in the listed Queen Adelaide Stakes.

Of the other chances, Formidable is an impressive young filly who is more than capable, as is Mama’s Choice who won her only start in the Chairman’s Stakes. She beat Formidable and Jimando that day so she is one to watch.

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Patinack Farm Blue Diamond Stakes Form Guide

	Form	Horse Name	Career		W%	P%	Avg$	Wgt	Odds
1	1	General Rippa	1	1-0-0	100%	100%	$75,750	56.5	21.00
2	13	Jimando	2	1-0-1	50%	100%	$34,750	56.5	13.00
3	146	Cambiaso	3	1-0-0	33%	33%	$22,667	56.5	61.00
4	41	The Travelling Man	2	1-0-0	50%	50%	$32,500	56.5	10.00
5	1	Bush Aviator	1	1-0-0	100%	100%	$60,000	56.5	31.00
6	173	Ferment	3	1-0-1	33%	67%	$18,217	56.5	61.00
7	322	Rusambo	3	0-2-1	0%	100%	$15,267	56.5	26.00
8	234	Andre Roo Hoo	3	0-1-1	0%	67%	$14,875	56.5	81.00
9	12	No Looking Back	2	1-1-0	50%	100%	$181,000	54.5	13.00
10	11	Samaready	2	2-0-0	100%	100%	$59,225	54.5	2.00
11	510	Real Stolle	3	1-0-0	33%	33%	$31,333	54.5	81.00
12	122	Formidable	3	1-2-0	33%	100%	$27,733	54.5	15.00
13	124	Members Joy	3	1-1-0	33%	67%	$22,108	54.5	19.00
14	18	Applegate	2	1-0-0	50%	50%	$32,000	54.5	26.00
15	1	Mama’s Choice	1	1-0-0	100%	100%	$60,500	54.5	15.00
16	11	Armed for Action	2	2-0-0	100%	100%	$28,613	54.5	13.00
17	1	Fire Thunderbolt	1	1-0-0	100%	100%	$21,300	56.5	121.00
18	3225	Mrs Gray	4	0-2-1	0%	75%	$8,050	54.5	61.00
19	4	Pronto Pronto	1	0-0-0	0%	0%	$4,500	56.5	51.00
20		Al Aneed	0	–	0%	0%	$0	56.5	101.00
Field Averages					40%	74%	$34,453
View detailed form guide at RacingZone.com.au including 20 race form!

In his exclusive written preview of Saturday’s races, Dominic Beirne of Betfair.com thinks Black Caviar will be conceding Hay List and Buffering a start of a couple of lengths, will have to dig deep, but will prevail by less than three lengths.

Manawanui resumes in the Group Two Royal Sovereign Stakes at Warwick Farm where Magic Millions winner Driefontein and the emerging Raceway feature in earlier races.

Beirne rates Manawanui the top pick in a race containing “a bunch of potential Group One winners” but considers Moment of Change a danger to the favourite and Hot Snitzel most likely to run third.

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“The Dragons remain favourites but there has been a little bit of interest in the Bunnies who’ve shortened slightly since the market opened earlier in the week,” Sportsbet.com.au’s Ben Hawes said.  “They’re into $2.08 from $2.12.”

Nathan Merritt, Brett Morris and Jason Nightingale share the top line of betting in the first try scorer market at $10 while a Dragons win between 1 and 12 points is the $3.00 favourite in margin betting.

Sportsbet.com.au is offering 50 markets on the match, including whether or not there will be a 40/20 with ‘No’ at $1.20 and ‘Yes’ at $4.50.

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And it’s Steffensen who Sportsbet.com.au is tipping, pricing him as the $1.70 favourite to finish with a better result than Soloman, who has been priced at $2.10, in the event.

“John talked it up after his win in Perth and we think he’ll back it up in Sydney so we’re looking forward to hearing what he’ll have to say this time,” sportsbet.com.au’s Ben Hawes said.

Jana Pittman has been opened at $2.25 in her head-to-head battle with Lauren Boden in the 400m hurdles. Boden, who won the event at the Perth Track Classic last weekend is the $1.59 favourite to finish with a better result.

In the women’s discus, 2009 World Champion Dani Samuels is the $2.80 outsider against Beijing gold medalist Stephanie Brown Trafton ($1.40) while Sally Pearson has not a worry in the world after being priced at $1.03 to outdo any opponent ($11).

Long distance runner Craig Mottram finds himself the outsider in his head-to-head battle with Collis Birmingham, priced at $2.50 to finish with a better result in the Men’s 1500m with Birmingham at $1.50.

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For those who think the Giants will really struggle, they can get odds of $7.50 that they won’t kick a goal against the Magpies. And if punters think their night will be a complete disaster, odds of $11 are up for grabs should GWS fail to kick a goal for the entire round against both the Magpies and the Bulldogs.

“Despite all the hype over the off season we think they will get a bit of a reality check this weekend,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Shaun Anderson. “It would be an absolute disaster if they didn’t manage to kick a goal and although its likely they will, at least those punters who don’t give them a chance can take advantage.”

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Below is a write up of each race including the latest odds and barrier draws, along with links to view extended form for each of the runners at our partner site RacingZone.com.au.

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Also, new customers will qualify for a $200 Free Bet. You can claim yours now by following the prompts below and have your free bet to use this weekend at Warwick Farm.

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Thoroughbred Breeders Classic – Race 5

Looks a strong race which sees the return of the top class mare Beaded ($2.80). She’s a Group One winner who looks well placed in this and she boasts a very good first up record and will be the one to beat. Red Tracer ($4.00) is next best.

She’s been trialling well. She also performs well first up but jockey Hugh Bowman will need a touch of luck form the awkward draw. Steps In Time ($5.50) returned with a good win in open company at Canterbury, this race is a step up in class but she does look to be an improving type.

At nice odds, Balmont ($15.00) could be the knock out runner, and she’s had two solid trials in preparation for this. Include Lady’s Angel ($10.00) if the track is wet.

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	Form	Horse Name	Career		W%	P%	Avg$	Wgt	Odds
1	1432132122	Beaded	22	10-6-5	45%	95%	$69,717	58.0	2.90
2	9705165744	Montana Flyer	30	4-4-3	13%	37%	$17,426	57	21.00
3	1122111230	Red Tracer	13	6-3-3	46%	92%	$36,539	56.5	4.20
4	3421831269	Jersey Lily	23	4-6-5	17%	65%	$20,232	56.5	15.00
5	4125007810	Galizani	16	4-2-1	25%	44%	$11,733	56.5	201.00
6	2011131250	Gybe	15	5-3-2	33%	67%	$24,662	56.5	15.00
7	0401035144	Paprika	16	6-1-1	38%	50%	$43,031	56.5	41.00
8	7113429142	Ladys Angel	13	5-3-1	38%	69%	$19,700	56.0	10.00
9	123101	Steps in Time	6	3-1-1	50%	83%	$30,508	56.0	6.00
10	6611772212	Balmont	19	6-5-1	32%	63%	$10,056	56.0	15.00
11	1112265611	Foxstar	18	6-5-2	33%	72%	$14,332	56	34.00
12	1673245114	Rosie’s Reward	16	7-1-1	44%	56%	$12,905	55	26.00
13	5691924221	Alberton Park	29	6-11-3	21%	69%	$9,619	55	26.00
Field Averages					31%	64%	$23,799
View detailed form guide at RacingZone.com.au including 20 race form!

Royal Sovereign Stakes – Race 6

Interesting race with horse to follow through autumn resuming. Manawanui ($2.30) is clearly the top rated runner here. He looks beautifully placed at level weights. There doesn’t look to be a lot of speed in this so he won’t be too far back in the run. Only query is if his long spring preparation has done him any harm, however he has been trialling well.

Next pick is the very promising Moment Of Change ($3.50) who created a huge impression in the spring and trialled sensationally at Rosehill recently. This will be his first attempt at racing clockwise under race conditions, and interestingly some of his stable mates appear to have struggled with this recently.

Hot Snitzel ($10.00) will be primed to run a race first up and is the specialist sprinter in this field. Free Wheeling ($11.00) has had early support indicating he’s ready to fire.

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	Form	Horse Name	Career		W%	P%	Avg$	Wgt	Odds
1	311111216	Manawanui	9	6-1-1	67%	89%	$141,398	56.0	2.30
2	4203131216	Hot Snitzel	11	4-2-2	36%	73%	$47,673	56.0	10.00
3	11413	King Saul	5	3-0-1	60%	80%	$76,330	56.0	26.00
4	5318121	Doctor Doom	7	3-1-1	43%	71%	$47,470	56.0	21.00
5	7211312	Darci Be Good	7	3-2-1	43%	86%	$43,243	56.0	21.00
6	6751307185	Isopach	11	2-0-1	18%	27%	$18,418	56.0	51.00
7	18	Salade	2	1-0-0	50%	50%	$78,075	56.0	34.00
8	4321L	Free Wheeling	5	1-1-1	20%	60%	$27,260	56.0	11.00
9	281134	Ambidexter	6	2-1-1	33%	67%	$21,475	56.0	34.00
10	2131851	Hendricus	7	3-1-1	43%	71%	$38,207	56.0	51.00
11	1226	Rekindled Alliance	4	1-2-0	25%	75%	$19,963	56.0	17.00
12	11	Moment of Change	2	2-0-0	100%	100%	$12,594	56.0	3.50
13	391012	Time to Plunder	6	2-1-1	33%	67%	$5,833	56.0	201.00
Field Averages					40%	68%	$46,890
View detailed form guide at RacingZone.com.au including 20 race form!

Light Finger Stakes – Race 7

The Light Finger Stakes features a large field of 18 fillies in what should be a hotly contested race. The G1 Flight Stakes winner Streama ($3.20) has opened as favourite and is our hot tip.

Karuta Queen ($3.20) is next in betting and will be looking for an improved effort from last week at Caulfield when she ran second. She has a ton of potential and will be tough to stop.

Hallowell Belle (9.00), Pane In The Glass ($12.00) and Sea Siren ($13.00) are next in line and you would think the winner will come from the fillies mentioned. Nocturnelle ($26.00) could be a good roughie.

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	Form	Horse Name	Career		W%	P%	Avg$	Wgt	Odds
1	1203412124	Karuta Queen	13	6-3-1	46%	77%	$134,221	56.0	4.60
2	1323214277	Pane in the Glass	12	4-3-2	33%	75%	$56,604	56.0	12.00
3	22613111	Streama	8	4-2-1	50%	88%	$70,381	56.0	3.20
4	232122224	Hallowell Belle	9	1-6-1	11%	89%	$46,558	56.0	9.00
5	2137961	Schiffer	7	2-1-1	29%	57%	$54,143	56.0	19.00
6	315	Altar	3	1-0-1	33%	67%	$83,217	56.0	14.00
7	4851642421	Al’s Magic Miss	12	3-2-0	25%	42%	$13,015	56.0	34.00
8	12115	Emmalene	5	3-1-0	60%	80%	$32,880	56.0	17.00
9	3111	Nocturnelle	4	3-0-1	75%	100%	$38,983	56.0	26.00
10	5254113513	Debelle	11	3-1-2	27%	55%	$10,085	56.0	34.00
11	2177	Kneeling	4	1-1-0	25%	50%	$21,075	56.0	16.00
12	1114	Colorado Claire	4	3-0-0	75%	75%	$22,700	56.0	26.00
13	20633610	Miss Spoken	8	1-1-2	13%	50%	$9,054	56.0	81.00
14	311	Sea Siren	3	2-0-1	67%	100%	$19,177	56.0	13.00
15	247112	Fox	6	2-2-0	33%	67%	$7,608	56.0	34.00
16	01	Blue Ruby	2	1-0-0	50%	50%	$18,000	56.0	126.00
17	1	Pineapple	1	1-0-0	100%	100%	$27,550	56.0	61.00
18	1455	Rose Pattern	4	1-0-0	25%	25%	$3,723	56.0	81.00
Field Averages					36%	67%	$43,547
View detailed form guide at RacingZone.com.au including 20 race form!

She should be able to dictate from the front and might be hard to run down. Sydney filly Angel Of Mercy ($10.00) creates interest. She has her share of ability and the booking of Craig Williams is a good lead.

Of the others, Caline ($15.00) may surprise, while Notice Received and The Good Wife are both $21.00 chances. Seraphee ($201.00) rounds out the betting at long odds.

Remember if you fancy a punt on The Vanity this Saturday at Flemington, then be sure to check out online bookie IASbet.com who are giving away a $200 Free Bet for new customers who sign up before this weekend.

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The Vanity Form Guide

	Form	Horse Name	Career		W%	P%	Avg$	Wgt	Odds
1	1235312611	Mosheen	10	4-2-2	40%	80%	$160,670	58	1.80
2	37121431	Shopaholic	8	3-1-2	38%	75%	$10,318	54.0	6.00
3	411	Great Dame	3	2-0-0	67%	67%	$16,733	54.0	5.50
4	6215	Angel of Mercy	4	1-1-0	25%	50%	$14,450	54.0	12.00
5	311	Caline	3	2-0-1	67%	100%	$9,206	54.0	15.00
6	11	Notice Received	2	2-0-0	100%	100%	$13,569	54.0	21.00
7	513	The Good Wife	3	1-0-1	33%	67%	$4,458	54.0	21.00
8		Seraphee	0	–	0%	0%	$0	54.0	201.00
Field Averages					45%	76%	$56,527
View detailed form guide at RacingZone.com.au including 20 race form!

Sportingbet.com.au CEO Michael Sullivan said punters had identified the three as good things on Saturday but he was happy to let them on.

“We took bets of $10,000, $5000 and a number of $1000 and $2000 bets on Mosheen in the first few hours of putting the market up and she has shortened from $1.85 to $1.80,” Sullivan said.

“Helmet was also well backed early with one punter having $16,000 and he has been rock solid at $1.75.

“Many punters are doubling Mosheen or Helmet up into Black Caviar or even taking the treble.”

“I am happy to let the punters on though as Mosheen is in a high class field while Helmet does a few things wrong, isn’t great first up and probably has an eye on the Guineas and Dubai.”

Black Caviar is currently $1.12 with Sportingbet and Sullivan said they expected punters to step in again.

“Her supporters are fiercely loyal and why wouldn’t they be after the wins she has given them and they will come for her again this week,” he said.

“Dropping from 1400m to 1000m against the second best sprinter in the country means we will be taking her on again but it is becoming a very costly exercise for Sportingbet.”

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As expected she is odds on to win with online bookie IASbet.com but her odds of $1.12 are her longest she has been since May last year in the BTC Cup at Doomben. She is set for another mouth watering match up with Hay List.

We don’t need to say much more about Black Caviar, we know how good she is. Hay List is the obvious rival here. He has won 14 of his 20 career starts and is 6 from 7 at the distance, however he has lost all his four starts against the champion mare.

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The rest are basically making up the numbers. Foxwedge at $17.00 looks a good shot to run the trifecta, the impressive 3yo has form around Sepoy and is a stakes winner. The rest of the field are paying odds of $51 and above.

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Lightning Stakes Form Guide

	Form	Horse Name	Career		W%	P%	Avg$	Wgt	Odds
1	4368234387	Phelan Ready	26	2-3-5	8%	38%	$133,163	58.5	201.00
2	1111621212	Hay List	20	14-4-0	70%	90%	$86,816	58.5	8.00
3	4137441462	Buffering	20	8-4-2	40%	70%	$55,195	58.5	51.00
4	1314501613	Temple of Boom	25	9-4-5	36%	72%	$34,560	58.5	61.00
5	5234536151	Secret Flyer	38	11-4-5	29%	53%	$13,922	58.5	151.00
6	3821122284	Metallurgical	23	5-5-4	22%	61%	$8,619	58.5	251.00
7	1111111111	Black Caviar	18	18-0-0	100%	100%	$263,503	56.5	1.12
8	1039231513	Lone Rock	14	4-2-3	29%	64%	$38,059	56.5	61.00
9	113712412	Foxwedge	9	4-2-1	44%	78%	$63,189	56	17.00
Field Averages					39%	66%	$71,183
View detailed form guide at RacingZone.com.au including 20 race form!